Bloomberg: Bitcoin Price “Fading”, $1,500 Possible

After MarketWatch got lambasted for publishing a questionable op-ed regarding a Bitcoin mining “death spiral,” the financial media continued their bearish cryptocurrency coverage on Wednesday. More specifically, Bloomberg News, which covers the crypto industry round the clock, recently had its in-house analysts tout a $1,500 per BTC prediction — far below what many traders deem “logical.”
Bloomberg Analyst Bearish, Expects Bitcoin To Fall To $1,500
While selling pressure has begun to abate, with 24-hour volumes in the cryptocurrency market falling to $14 billion, BTC continued its seemingly endless downtrend on Wednesday. The asset, which ranged primarily between $3,900 and $4,200 for a week, fell under the former price level in recent hours. During one point on Wednesday, the foremost cryptocurrency suddenly fell to $3,668, nearing its one-year low around $3,500, originally established in November.
Related Reading: November Has Been Bitcoin’s Worst Month for Seven Years
But since its initial sell-off, BTC has found itself amid a veneer of stability, finding a short-term foothold at in the mid-3700s, as bears presumably catch their breath. Yesterday’s move clearly exhibits the sentiment that volatility has likely returned to cryptocurrency markets, after the aforementioned multi-day lull.
And, according to Bloomberg, this bearish volatility is likely to continue into 2019, contradicting sentiment that both the cryptocurrency and equities markets would undergo a “Santa Claus rally.”
The financial market resource recently noted that the Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicates that after BTC fell under $6,600 in July, the asset has been “caught in a strong selling trend.” While a single indicator isn’t enough to signal a downtrend, Bloomberg also drew attention to the Average Directional Index (ADX), which is nearing 50 — a purportedly bearish sign.
In a note relayed through Bloomberg News, coupled with a subsequent interview, Mike McGlone, an analyst at the outlet, has made it clear that the aforementioned indicators point to lower lows for Bitcoin. McGlone, who hasn’t been afraid to tout his doomsday sentiment in the past, explained that BTC could fall another ~60% to $1,500, with altcoins likely falling close behind the cryptocurrency godfather.
Interestingly, while Bitcoin Cash’s hard fork has come and passed, the analyst drew attention to the contentious event, along with year-end tax selling, as purported catalysts for Bitcoin’s move to $1,500. Elaborating, while also touching on market cycles, McGlone noted:
“We’re at a classic psychological stage where the market is reversing the 2017 frenzy… The hard fork was a key trigger that signaled the technology is way too nascent. You had these dicey characters threatening to destroy each other and institutions said ’It might be best if we stay away from this for a while.’”
Crypto Industry Savants Still See Long-Term Potential
Although McGlone painted a dismal picture for crypto’s prospects, which were already beaten and bruised to hell and back, a number of industry insiders have maintained their abiding faith in this revolutionary innovation.
Roger Ver, the infamous chief executive of Bitcoin.com, recently told the aforementioned outlet that the future is brighter than ever for cryptocurrencies. Speaking to Bloomberg on the streets of Tokyo, the zealous decentralist and anti-government crusader drew attention to a number of fundamental factors, including the Japanese FSA’s recent approval of a self-regulating crypto consortium, growing awareness of this innovation, and ramping adoption.
Keeping all this in mind, coupled with the fact that hackers and scammers continue to target the industry, Ver mused that he is still “incredibly bullish on the entire crypto-coin ecosystem.”
Mike Kayamori, chief executive at Quoine, also expressed a similar thought process. Kayamori, who heads the Japanese blockchain-centric startup, noted that while “nobody knows” where Bitcoin will bottom, taking historical trends into account, a reversal may be inbound. The Japanese crypto proponent added that by the end of 2019, he expects for BTC to surpass the all-time high it established in the wee hours of 2017.
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Tom Lee: Bitcoin [BTC]’s dip below break-even point will see cryptocurrency hit only $15,000 by EoY

Tom Lee trimmed his Bitcoin end of the year [2018] prediction down to $15,000 from his earlier prediction of $25,000 in a statement recently. Bitcoin is among the cryptocurrencies that took a massive hit due to the recent sell-off that was set-off by the contentious arguments on Bitcoin Cash fork.
Thomas Lee aka Tom Lee is the co-founder of Fundstrat Global Advisors and is one among the people who are known for their wild predictions on Bitcoin [BTC].
Tom Lee explained that this new prediction came as a result of Bitcoin dipping below the ‘break-even” point. Break-even point is the level where the mining costs are equal to the trading price. According to Fundstrat’s data science team, the break-even point has come down to $7,000 as compared to the earlier break-even price, which was predicted to be $8,000. These tests were conducted on Bitmain’s S9 miners.
Based on the break-even price, Tom Lee re-predicted the price that Bitcoin might hit at the end of the year.
He stated:
“While bitcoin broke below that psychologically important $6,000, this has lead to a renewed wave of pessimism, but we believe the negative swing in sentiment is much worse than the fundamental implications.”
Lee said the recent double-digit crash of most cryptocurrencies like Ethereum [ETH], XRP and Bitcoin were triggered by “crypto-specific” events. The most obvious crypto-specific event was the “hash wars” which was due to the forking of Bitcoin Cash to Bitcoin ABC and Bitcoin SV.
Lee first predicted the price of Bitcoin would reach $25,000 by the EoY on July 5, 2018, which sent shockwaves and speculations in the crypto community.
Lee’s had said:
“Bitcoin has historically traded 2.5 times its mining cost, so it’s not out of the question that it could be $20,000 by the end of the year.”
The current price of Bitcoin is $5,530, and for it to reach $15,000 by the EoY, the price has to rally by an excess of 171.24%. The recent sell-off has caused the market cap of Bitcoin to collapse below the $100-billion line and is currently at $96.12 billion.
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BitMEX CEO Accurately Called $5,000 Bitcoin in August, Is $2,000 Next?

Bitcoin has set a new low for 2018, and is now inching closer and closer to BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes’ prediction that Bitcoin will reach $5,000.
BitMEX CEO Called for Bitcoin to Test $5K Support, Nails Prediction
Outspoken CEO and co-founder of popular margin-trading platform BitMEX has made a number of predictions about Bitcoin’s price since the leading cryptocurrency by market cap reached its all-time high of $20,000 last December.
One of his most recent predictions, calling for Bitcoin to hit $5,000, is about to become a reality.
While many cryptocurrency analysts had been calling for a bottom, Bitcoin finally fell through its seemingly unbreakable and repeatedly tested support at $6,000, quickly plummeting to $5,500 yesterday, and hitting a low of $5,250 earlier this morning – a mere $250 away from Hayes’ prediction.
Hayes started the year with a far more positive outlook on Bitcoin, suggesting that the volatile asset could reach $50,000 by the end of 2018.
Considering Bitcoin’s parabolic rise from $5,000 to $20,000 in around a month’s time, exuberant predictions were the norm and at the time seemed very possible. However, as the bear market took its toll on investors scorn by continuously falling prices, Hayes adjusted his predictions. Others, such as Tim Draper or cybersecurity firm founder John McAfee are calling for as much as $250,000 and even $1 million per Bitcoin.
McAfee was so confident in the prediction he offered to “eat” his genitalia if the lofty prediction didn’t come true.
Back in August, the BitMEX CEO, while speaking on CNBC’s Fast Money, told host Melissa Lee that cryptocurrency investors haven’t “seen the worst” yet and that he would “like to see” Bitcoin “test 5,000 to really see if we put a bottom in.”
Hayes made the comments after Bitcoin briefly touched below $6,000 in late June, and began to rally before being stopped at roughly $8,250. Hayes had suggested at the time that if the rally had passed $10,000, his prediction of $50,000 was still feasible, but if the rally couldn’t break the psychological resistance at $10,000, then a test of $5,000 would be in the cards. He was right.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Break to $5,600 is Good For Crypto, Says Major Investor
Is Arthur Hayes’ New Prediction the Next Stop for Bitcoin?
Hayes isn’t done with his goal of accurately predicting the bottom in Bitcoin, and is now calling $2,000 to $3,000 his “new sweet spot.” He also thinks that the ongoing bear market, which is already nearing a year in length, could last another year to 18-months.
Hayes has based his assessments on Bitcoin’s price and its relation to the 200-day moving average. Having “lived through the 2014-2015 bear market,” Hayes has also been waiting for a “nasty #@$ candle that breaks the soul of the bulls” – a candle which most bulls are hoping occurred yesterday, and isn’t looming on the horizon.
Market bottoms are usually identified by a V-shaped capitulation event, which many have claimed has yet to happen in what appeared to be Bitcoin’s bottom at the time.
If yesterday’s drop wasn’t the capitulation event, then Bitcoin may be following Hayes’ new prediction of $2,000 to $3,000. If it was, $50,000 could be next after the bulls regain control.
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Malta PM Makes Unavoidable Bitcoin Prediction

The people of Malta and its government have already accepted the crypto world and has even tried to call itself the ‘blockchain island’ of the world.
In an address to the United Nation’s General Assembly, the Prime Minister of Malta, Joseph Muscat has said that he sees blockchain technologies as the tool which can allow Bitcoin and other digital currencies to inevitably gain a widespread appeal and essentially become the future of currency.
Continue reading Malta PM Makes Unavoidable Bitcoin Prediction at Crypto Daily™.
Source: Crypto Daily

Permabull Tom Lee: Bitcoin Price at $20,000 Still Possible By The End Of 2018

When it comes to Bitcoin bulls, there isn’t anyone who is as optimistic as Fundstrat’s Tom Lee. And with a recent appearance on CNBC, Lee has only cemented this theme, drawing attention to indicators that could indicate that Bitcoin bears are losing steam.
Fundstrat Analyst Remains Bullish, Even After Eight Months Of Bearish Price Action
Where’s Bitcoin headed next? That’s the question that has been weighing on the minds of crypto investors worldwide. Tom Lee, the head of research at Fundstrat Global Advisors, recently appeared on CNBC’s “Fast Money” segment to discuss his outlook on this market.
Lee, dubbed “Wall Street’s biggest Bitcoin bull” by some, debuted his time on the show by drawing attention to a throng of positive indicators. Alluding back to the countless number of appearances he made on Fast Money, the permabull noted that the break-even cost of mining, along with favorable “network efforts” still heavily drive Bitcoin’s value. Anyhow, he then unexpectedly brought up a macro market indicator, and although it has no direct correlation to crypto, Lee sees it as Bitcoin’s next “leading indicator.”

The macro indicator in question compares the performance of the MSCI Emerging Markets Index, which measures the value of equity markets in global markets, and the US-based S&P 500. Lee went on to put the aforementioned indicator and Bitcoin’s logarithmic chart side-by-side, in a bid to show CNBC viewers that connections can be drawn between these two charts. As Bitcoin rocketed in value last year, so did the MSCI Index, albeit not exponentially. This seemingly isn’t a one-ended relationship, with Bitcoin undergoing a trend reversal as the macro indicator hit its peak in early-2018.
Although this could be an untimely coincidence, the Fundstrat research guru revealed why this indicator should be of interest to crypto investors. Lee stated:
“So why do we think they’re connected? Well, there is two factors. The first is hedge funds — see hedge funds typically rent emerging market stocks. So they do risk-on, risk-off. So when they’re risk-off, Bitcoin also suffers because they are risk off. The second reason has to do with wealth effect. Wealth effect means that if you are living in an emerging market, and you see your stock market fall hugely, that you will have a lot less money to buy Bitcoin.”
In other words, the Fundstrat executive believes that as emerging markets underperform, so will Bitcoin. Later speaking on market conditions, Lee added that the trading ecosystem “has shifted,” which has drawn ambitious macro hedge fund managers to BitMEX, where margin trading is a dime a dozen.
Additionally, he noted that funds are beginning to hire crypto-friendly, talented individuals straight out of college, which may play a role in a hedge fund’s decision to look into crypto. So for now, the permabull noted that hedge funds will continue to dominate the trading landscape until the market gets other fiat on-ramps.
Tom Lee: The Misery Index May Be At 36, But Bitcoin Is Still Ready To Roar
Concluding his time on the show, Lee brought up Fundstrat’s Bitcoin Misery Index, which aims to calculate the overall sentiment of crypto traders on a scale from zero to 100. As it stands, the misery index sits in a “very miserable zone”, at 36/100. He attributed this low figure to the SEC’s near-rejection of nine Bitcoin-backed ETF proposals, along with these Chinese government’s moves to curb the development and propagation of crypto.
However, as incessantly noted by the analyst, the misery index can often be seen as a contrarian indicator, where a low figure reported by the index may often be a precursor to a short to mid-term Bitcoin rally. CNBC host Melissa Lee closed off this episode’s crypto segment asking Tom Lee about his $20,000 price prediction. Remaining ever so bullish, he stated:
“It only takes ten days for Bitcoin to see all its returns in a year. So I still believe that ($20,000 by the end of 2018) is possible.”
 
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Crypto Week In Review: Sentiment Starts To Shift As Bitcoin Moves Up 15%

Sentiment regarding the cryptocurrency market took a large shift this past week, as Bitcoin rallied 15% due to a series of positive technical and fundamental indicators.

IBM To Use Stellar-Based Stablecoin For Faster Financial Payments

IBM, one of the largest technology firms in the world, has just announced that it will be exploring the utilization of a Stellar-based token for cross-border payments.  The token in question was created by asset management firm Stronghold and was fittingly named Stronghold USD, which is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the U.S. dollar.

Unlike other stablecoin projects like Tether, prospective Stronghold USD users will make a deposit to the Nevada-based Prime Trust bank, with Stronghold issuing tokens on a 1:1 ratio. Additionally, this project was created with institutions in mind, rather than consumers, making the aforementioned stablecoin a much better choice for IBM in comparison with something like Tether or TrueUSD.

Tammy Camp, the founder and CEO of Stronghold, explained the use cases of the token more in-depth, stating:

“The token allows folks to do payments, foreign exchange between companies in a very seamless and frictionless and more secure way. It enables people to be able to trade that token with other assets and other tokens as well.”

Despite The Bear Market, Greyscale Investments Sees An Influx of Institutional Capital

Grayscale Investments, a digital asset focused investment firm, recently revealed that it had received an influx of institutional investment and interest, despite market woes.

Grayscale, which is headed by cryptocurrency expert and long-time investor Barry Silbert, released a report that cited that it had received just around $250 million from investors, looking to invest into Greyscale’s array of investment products. Although this is an impressive figure by itself, Silbert noted that 56% of the aforementioned figure was generated from institutional investors, potentially noting that these firms see a good entry point at current prices.

Bithumb To Expand Into New Asian Markets

Bithumb, a popular Korean exchange, has announced that it has plans to expand into the Japanese and Thai markets within the upcoming months. The exchange is currently working on obtaining the required regulatory approval from the local governments, namely the Japanese Financial Services Agency and the Thai Securities and Exchange Commission.

The Thai Bithumb branch is the furthest in development, with its parent company creating a webpage for the platform, along with allocating 3 million Thai Baht (~$90,000 U.S.) to the newly-opened subsidiary.

It is expected for Bithumb Thai to launch by the end of October, while Bithumb Japan is expected to open its doors early next year, despite harsh regulation imposed by regulators. The exchange will not be any ordinary platform, with ZDNet Korea noting that Bithumb “plans to set up an exchange that supports the largest number of coins (cryptocurrencies) in Japan.”

Tom Lee And Barry Silbert Call For Bitcoin To Continue Upwards

CNBC’s “Fast Money” show hosted industry leaders Tom Lee and Barry Silbert this week, with the two stating that they hold positive sentiment regarding Bitcoin’s price.

Barry Silbert, who is a long-time cryptocurrency investor and the aforementioned founder of Grayscale Investments, expects an influx of institutional “dry powder,” or highly liquid assets, in the near future. Silbert also stated that the bears have “run out of energy,” and have no more Bitcoin to sell, therefore resulting in less selling pressure placed upon prices.

The Bitcoin proponent later pointed out that the criticisms placed upon the industry by regulatory bodies don’t hold any value, and come unwarranted. He said:

“So I started buying Bitcoin in 2012 when the price was ten dollars and I’ve gone through now two 80 percent corrections, and this was a 65 percent correction. It’s the same old criticisms… Its just (that) they’re uninformed because everybody on this desk, anyone who spends the time to look into what is this asset class, why is it important, why does it have so much potential comes out of it being a believer.”

Tom Lee, the head of research at market analysis firm Fundstrat, also pointed out that fundamentals and technical indicators are starting to turn bullish once again, expecting for the world’s foremost cryptocurrency to head upwards from here.

Crypto Experts Hold Bullish Price Predictions

Arthur Hayes, the co-founder and CEO of the BitMEX exchange, tripled-down on his $50,000 price prediction, while also making an appearance on the CNBC show that seems to cover cryptocurrencies each and every day. Despite stating that he believes the market hasn’t “seen the worst” yet, expecting for Bitcoin to bottom at $5,000, he is betting that the cryptocurrency market will return to a bullish state as we move into the second half of the year.

Hayes noted:

“I don’t actually think we’ve seen the worst. I would like to see us test $5,000 to really see if we put a bottom in. But come back in Q3, Q4, I think is when the party is going to start again.”

Bitcoin Holds Weekly Gains, As Altcoins Slightly Pullback 

On Tuesday, Bitcoin saw an astonishing run-up, easily surpassing the heavily contested resistance levels at $6,800 and $7,000. Altcoins quickly followed, with a majority of the cryptocurrency market posting ~8-9% gains on that day alone. Many attributed this run-up to a series of positive news that was released prior to the run-up, namely discussion regarding institutional involvement, with this variety of investment being held as the primary catalyst for the expected bull-run of 2018.

Additionally, as Tom Lee stated on CNBC, the technical indicators were starting to become more favorable as discerned by a variety of analysts.

Since then, many altcoins experienced a slight pullback, with Bitcoin’s market dominance rising from 43% to 45%. Bitcoin has continued to hold the gains it made earlier this week, with the cryptocurrency sitting at around $7,450.

It has become apparent that the sentiment surrounding the cryptocurrency market is starting to change, with an onslaught of positive news coming from all corners of the industry. Arthur Hayes put it best when he said:

“But come back in Q3, Q4, I think that is when the party is going to start again.”

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