Donald Trump and Fed Chairman Distrust is Bullish for Bitcoin: Billionaire Investor

Bitcoin is going to benefit from the growing distrust between the US President Donald Trump and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, believes Mr. Michael Novogratz of Galaxy Digital, LLC.
The billionaire founder said on Wednesday that he is becoming “more bullish” on bitcoin after President Trump reportedly threatened to demote Mr. Powell if he decides against lowering interest rates. The Federal Reserve is set to announce its take on the said matter today at 1400 Eastern Time upon concluding a two-day meeting.

Makes me more bullish $BTC
— Michael Novogratz (@novogratz) June 18, 2019

Bitcoin against Rate Cuts
Economists believe the Fed is not likely to cut interest rate in June despite May’s weak job data and softer consumer price inflation. But, the central bank’s likelihood of decreasing the rates after July 30-31 meeting is higher.
Meanwhile, with an 80 percent approval of a rate cut by traders, the sentiment in the US stock market has turned bullish for the near-term. The June session so far has witnessed the S&P 500 Index, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite posting more than 6 percent profits each through Tuesday’s close.
On the other hand, bitcoin’s month-to-date gains are lower than that of the US benchmark markets — at 3.69 percent by Tuesday’s close. The cryptocurrency’s uptrend went silent on Tuesday after the announcement of Facebook’s token Libra. Nevertheless, bitcoin’s broader bias remains bullish owing to market catalysts like the Hong Kong protests, the US-China trade war, and news related to its potential adoption by mainstream institutions (Fidelity, TD Ameritrade, etc.).
Bitcoin Price has Surged More than 150% in 2019 | Image Credits:
Hand in Hand
The two diverse markets now meet at the crossroad constructed by the Federal Reserve. Investors who have both the US stocks and bitcoin in their portfolios are looking at rate cuts as a hedge against a potential economic slowdown. According to Barclays, the US benchmark markets could witness a surge of as much as 21 percent following the next rate cut. The same theory stands true for bitcoin, which could see an increase in buying sentiment if US dollar borrowing becomes cheaper.
But the interim sentiment holds if only Mr. Powell decides to cut interest rates. An opposite scenario, meanwhile, could hit the bitcoin market in the wrong way — at least according to Robert Leshner, the founder of Compound Finances.
“We’re finally starting to enter an environment of rising interest rates which crypto has never seen before and it’s going to be potentially challenging to the price of a lot of crypto assets just like it will be for a lot of assets in general, including equities.”
Long-Term Sentiment
The following rate cut scenario does not guarantee a soft landing for the US economy, according to Ryan Detrick of LPL Financial.
The senior market strategist noted that the Fed is going to cut interests at a time when a potential recession is looming around. He said the previous two times the Fed slashed the rates were in 2001 and 2017, which eventually cut the stocks cut by half.
“But the reality is if you go back further in time, you can also see explosive rallies after that first cut,” Mr. Detrick said.
Meanwhile, data collected by Barclays shows the S&P 500 records a loss of approx 17 percent when the Fed cuts rates ahead of an impending recession.
Bitcoin’s impressive performance in May against the backdrop of the US-China trade war has proved that investors would likely consider it a hedge under challenging times. US-based Grayscale Investments found plenty of evidence that showed the bitcoin price rising against a string of regional economic tensions, ranging from China’s capital control to the Greece debt crisis. The firm wrote in its report:
“While it is still very early in Bitcoin’s life cycle as an investable asset, we have identified evidence supporting the notion that it can serve as a hedge in a global liquidity crisis, particularly those that result in subsequent currency devaluations.”
That somewhat raises hopes of bitcoin behaving as a perfect hedge for handling a global economic crisis.
No wonder Mr. Novogratz is more bullish on the cryptocurrency.
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Bitcoin Price Jumps Above $8,700 following Binance US Closure

Bitcoin is becoming a hedging instrument even against the rest of the cryptocurrency market.
The largest cryptocurrency profited as much as 6 percent on Friday to close above $8,700. At the same time, other leading cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, Litecoin, and EOS, trended in negative territory. The massive contrast between the bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrency market indicated a capital flight. Traders suggestively exchanged a bulk of altcoins for bitcoin as a safety measure against the latest Binance announcement.
The Malta-based cryptocurrency exchange, which accounted for the highest global cryptocurrency volume, announced on Friday that it is barring US customers from accessing its services. The announcement indicated that Binance would lose about 15 percent of its net monthly traffic, amounting to over 40 million customers. The firm’s sudden shutting down reportedly prompted the US customers to withdraw a large number of altcoins, which included Binance’s very own native token BNB coin.
Binance Coin (BNB) Dropped Close to 18% on Friday | Image Credits:
The BNB price dropped by as much as 17 percent against the BTC on Friday.
Bitcoin against Altcoin Liquidity Crisis
Alex Krüger, a prominent market analyst, said today that Binance’s issues with its US customers are bullish for bitcoin. He cited Tether, the company behind the controversial stablecoin USDT, to explain the correlation of bitcoin with the rest of the altcoin market. In April 2019, the New York Attorney General’s office on April 25 announced that it had obtained a court order against Tether and its associate firm BitFinex for allegedly hiding $850 million loss from USDT investors.
“Upcoming Binance’s issues with US residents = Bullish for BTC,” wrote Krüger. “This was even clearer than with April’s Tether “FUD.” Speculators are supposed to act on meaningful news, not just theorize about it.”

Upcomimg Binance's issues with US residents = Bullish for $BTC. This was even clearer than with April's Tether "FUD". Speculators are supposed to act on meaningful news, not just theorize about it.
— Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) June 14, 2019

Also, in October 2018, USDT dropped its dollar-peg to fall to its 18-month low of $0.92. The slide in the stablecoin pushed bitcoin $600 higher on BitFinex.
What’s Now for Bitcoin
The bitcoin market’s intraday arrangements point to a small downside correction, according to its overbought Relative Strength Indicator on Coinbase daily chart. Nevertheless, market analyst Josh Rager suggest that the cryptocurrency has fuel to retest $8,750, given it manages to float above $8,000.
“Break and close above $8,948 is bullish,” he added.

Nice break up out of that rising wedge, big players painted it perfect on the chart to trap many into shorting followed by liquidations
Would like to see a pullback to $8500s before another retest to break above $8750
Break & close above $8948 is bullish
— Josh Rager (@Josh_Rager) June 15, 2019

Pseudonymous analyst BitBit believes bitcoin is due for a much larger upside move than what is suggested by Rager. He measured the cryptocurrency based on monthly performance, stating that it could continue its bull run to touch the five-figure status.
“I’m saying above 10k by the end of the month, might even touch 11k,” said BitBit.
The bitcoin price was trading at $8,645 at the time of this writing.
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Despite Warnings of Analyst For Fall to $6,100, Bitcoin Surges Above $8k

The bitcoin price has dropped by as much as 18 percent from its 2019 high of $9,090. And it could lose more value in the coming 20 days, according to an analysis provided by a cryptocurrency analyst.
Mr. Teddy Cleps of Crypto Freak Network said on Monday that the bitcoin price historically contacted its 21-weekly exponential moving average (EMA) in every 70-to-90 days.
On the 70th day since the last contact, bitcoin was trending almost a thousand dollar above the EMA in concern, which means the cryptocurrency has approximately 20 more days to plunge and retest it. Meanwhile, the EMA (represented via a green curve) has adjusted somewhere near $6,100, as shown in the chart below.
Bitcoin Price Eyes an Extended Downside Run Towards its 21-Weekly EMA | Image Credits: Teddy Cleps
“Any trend regardless of the bias has to retrace and confirm the direction by bouncing off a key moving average ( 21ema here) – very healthy for the trend,” said Cleps. “It has been 70 days since the last contact – historically it ranges between 70 and 90.”
The statement came hours ahead of the latest bitcoin price push above $8,000. At 1200 UTC today, the BTC/USD rate settled a session high towards $8,090, only to correct to the downside later. At the press time, bitcoin was trading at $7944, awaiting a push to sight bull targets above $8,300.
Parallel Theories
In May, bitcoin jumped by about 60 percent, marking its best monthly performance since December 2017. Ahead of the month’s close, the cryptocurrency surged to $9,090 but fell more than 11-percent in a matter of minutes. The super volatile move quickly transformed into an intense selling action, that brought the bitcoin price as low as $7,427 on Coinbase on June 4.
Tuur Demeester, the founding partner of Adamant Capital, noted that the cryptocurrency had not found concrete support to start a new rally. The analyst wrote in his latest blog that bitcoin is initially looking to retrace by as much as 44 percent from its session top of $9,000. He backed his prediction by a Relative Unrealized Profits & Losses indicator, which compared bitcoin investors’ total profit and losses with the asset’s price action, as shown in the chart below.
Comparing Bitcoin Price with Investor Sentiment | Image Credits: Tuur Demeester
“Should $9,000 prove the top (which is not a given) and if then we’d see a 2012-style correction repeated, we would expect after an initial crash to see bitcoin trade in a range between $6,800 and $7,680 (27–44% retrace of the rally),” wrote Demeester.
Would Bitcoin Upside Continue?
While the technicals have their ways to explain a bitcoin plunge, the fundamentally-driven bitcoin bulls believe that the cryptocurrency would touch a six-figure valuation this year.
Brian Kelly, the chief executive of digital currency investment firm BKCM LLC, told CNBC that bitcoin is at the beginning of a broader price rally. He said that miners are preferring to hoard more bitcoins instead of passing it down to the market for circulation.
The reason why the global mining community has become so bullish is an event that would reduce the supply of bitcoins by half next year. According to Kelly, a reduction in stock against a rising demand is simple economics to prove that the asset rate would grow higher.

After a more than 50% rally in the last month, Bitcoin is stuck at $8,000. Here's what @BKBrianKelly says could drive it higher.
— CNBC's Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) May 21, 2019

“Every time the supply of bitcoin cut in half, you have a rally that goes into it, and a rally that goes out of it. We’re just at the beginning of that stage,” said Kelly.
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Uber Angel Investor Predicts Bitcoin Price will Fall to $500

The bitcoin price will likely fall anywhere between $0 and $500 in the future, according to Jason Calacanis.
The prominent venture capitalist said on Wednesday that the world’s largest cryptocurrency operates in a manipulated market. He further discussed the possibility of [a] new, emerging technology replacing bitcoin that would eventually hurt its long-term fundamentals as an asset.
“It’s possible [bitcoin] is built to last, but not probable, so keep your position to an amount you’re willing to [lose],” suggested Calacanis. “For most, that’s 1-5% of net worth.”

My position remains the same. #Bitcoin will likely be replaced by a new technology & it’s manipulated
It’s possible it’s built to last, but not probable, so keep your position to an amount you’re willing to loose
For most, that’s 1-5% of net worth
It will likely go to 0-$500.
— (@Jason) May 27, 2019

The statement appeared in the wake of growing buying sentiment noted lately in the bitcoin spot market. The asset, which had slipped more than 70 percent last year after establishing a historic high at circa $20,000, made one of the most significant comebacks ever seen in both nascent and traditional markets.
Bitcoin’s rate in the US dollar markets posted a maximum rebound of 186 percent in just 163 days — as of May 27, 01:00 UTC. In comparison, Nasdaq and S&P 500, which also published their worst performance in a decade in 2018, rebounded by a dwarfed 23 and 25.94 percent from their lows, respectively.
Calacanis argued much of the bitcoin bullish bias that sent prices skyrocketing, predicting that early holders would exit their positions at suitable peak formations while leaving the new bagholders behind.
“It’s possible that the early holders will clear their positions to a new group of global refugee seekers, making it built to last,” said Calacanis. “I put that at [more than] 30 percent right now.
“Energy consumption, hacking, regulation & a better version are likely negative scenarios — I bundle those at 70 percent.”
Bitcoin Community Reacts
The bearish outlook presented by Calacanis met criticism from the bitcoin community, with many arguing that the prediction relied on a fictional phenomenon. John Carvalho, the chief operating officer of BitRefill, a Stockholm-based crypto startup, found Calacanis’ argument unconvincing. He asked:
“Why do you think replacement is likely? What evidence or relevance does manipulation have on BTC persistence? Have you done the math on what size the market would be if 1-5% of all investment-ready wealth [were] stored in Bitcoin?”
Meanwhile, prominent cryptocurrency analyst Parabolic Trav said bitcoin’s scarcity and resilience as an asset is adequately strong to sustain its dominance in the crypto market.
“Unless a “new technology” will achieve perfect scarcity a la free market, any goofy features don’t matter and will do nothing for dethroning BTC,” Parabolic Trav wrote in response to Calacanis’ prediction.

Unless a “new technology” will achieve perfect scarcity a la fee market, any goofy features don’t matter and will do nothing for dethroning BTC.
BTC is going to be perfect scarcity and perfect resilience. Everything else is irrelevant. LLB.
— ParabolicTrav (@parabolictrav) May 27, 2019

Other feedbacks included requests to Calacanis to look more deeply into the bitcoin technology for its non-confiscatable and censorship-resistant features.
Fundamentals Support Bitcoin
While one cannot predict where the bitcoin price would eventually land, the majority of fundamental factors appears on the bullish side. The cryptocurrency witnessed a renewed wave of buying sentiment, particularly after major US financial firms like Fidelity Investments and TD Ameritrade announced that they would launch bitcoin trading services.
On the other hand, bitcoin’s supply will be going to get reduced by half in May 2020, which has further improvised the asset’s bullish bias in the long-term.
Bitcoin was trading at $8,733.91 at the time of this writing.
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Fund Manager Discusses Three Factors that Will Trigger Next Bitcoin Rally

The bitcoin price has slipped by almost 5.5 percent from its yearly high at $8,388 and could be in for a massive downside correction. But that has not deterred a prominent fund manager from projecting a bullish case for the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
Brian Kelly, the founder of BKCM, LLC, a New York-based digital currency investment firm, said in an interview that bitcoin is ready for another breakout action owing to three three core fundamentals: institutional adoption, retail anticipation, and supply cut. He explained that people were bullish because big financial firms are entering the bitcoin market, retail-level trading applications are looking to be rolled out, and the Bitcoin protocol was about a year away from cutting bitcoin supply in half.

After a more than 50% rally in the last month, Bitcoin is stuck at $8,000. Here's what @BKBrianKelly says could drive it higher.
— CNBC's Fast Money (@CNBCFastMoney) May 21, 2019

Factor 1: Fidelity and Wall Street
Bitcoin’s jump above the psychological level of $6,000 took place on May 9, almost over a week after Fidelity Investments announced that it would offer a bitcoin trading service to its institutional clients. The Boston-based asset management firm, which had $2.6 trillion worth of assets under management as of March 2018, expects to pump bitcoin’s demand among the so-called Wall Street investors.
Incidentally, a similar anecdote helped bitcoin sustain its price above $6,000. Garry Tan, a prominent seed investor, said in October 2018 that big investors assumed $6,000-level as an opportunity to purchase bitcoin cheaper. He cited David Swensen and Yale’s Warren Buffet, who had invested an undisclosed sum into two crypto-funds.

Galaxy Digital’s billionaire CEO, Mike Novogratz, called $6,000 the bitcoin-bottom in September 2018, again citing institutions’ interest in purchasing the cryptocurrency around the level.
“I think institutions are moving towards investing. It’s shocking how much has happened,” said Mr. Novogratz.
But bitcoin broke below $6,000 in November 2018 and stayed there until May 9. Mr. Kelly believed that the move above the level is prompting people to revisit the 2018’s institutions-pumping-bitcoin narratives.
“You are starting to get that long-waited-for institutional adoption,” said Mr. Kelly. “Fidelity is rolling out institutional custody – they are getting customers from the mainstream and people are buying the institutional [narrative].”
Factor 2: TD Ameritrade and Retail Investors
TD Ameritrade, one of the significant US-based electronic trading platforms, invested an undisclosed sum in ErisX, an upcoming cryptocurrency spot and futures contracts exchange. The announcement followed a TD’s anticipation of launching a bitcoin trading service for retail-based investors, which, as Mr. Kelly noted, was also one of the significant factors behind the ongoing bitcoin price boom. He said:
“We softened TD Ameritrade and they invested. They will now start offering Bitcoin trading to their retail customers over the coming months – perhaps, three to four months.”
Factor 3: The Bitcoin Halving Event
The supply rate of bitcoin will reduce by half in May 2020, according to the cryptocurrency’s underlying protocol that reduces the bitcoin mining reward by 50 percent in every four years. Historical evidence shows that the bitcoin price has always surged following a “halving event.” The first supply cut, which took place in November 2012, pushed the BTC/USD rate from $11 to above $1,000. The next halving in 2016 saw the price later establishing an all-time high towards $20,000.
Bitcoin and Its History of Halving | Source: Reddit
Mr. Kelly called the next halving a “big picture” for bitcoin bulls. The analyst expected that the price would rally before the next bitcoin supply cut, and would continue its uptrend even after it.
“So you got this competition of a lot of demand coming in, and we’re heading into a period where the supply will cut,” he said. “That is generally very bullish.”
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Here’s Why Gold Bull Peter Schiff is Blessing in Disguise for Bitcoin

The economic atmosphere in the United States has changed drastically over the last six months. Ahead of last year’s close, the stock market tanked, consumer spending experienced a sharp decline, and prominent economists predicted that a recession was around the corner.
And now, in May, the US economy is working smoothly and steadily without any sudden changes. Nevertheless, the pessimism and uncertainty about the future are higher than they have been since the last economic crisis. Business confidence underwent a terrible shock earlier this year due to the US government shutdown and further dipped owing to escalating economic tensions between the US and China. The risk: an economy which appears stable but is working on a life support system provided by the Federal Reserve.
The Federal Reserve Bluff
American stockbroker Peter Schiff explained the market’s overwrought conditions aptly in his latest analytical article, titled ‘Nope!, Nothing to See Here.’ The 56-year old financial commentator, who heads Euro Pacific Capital Inc, a broker-dealer firm based in Connecticut, discussed how the Federal Reserve was attempting to assure market players with everything-is-fine rhetoric based on Jereme Powell’s speech from May 20.
The Federal Reserve chairman talked about the high quantity of corporate debt, recognizing that it has reached “a level that should give businesses and investors reason to pause and reflect.” Nevertheless, he added that corporate leverage reaching record levels is not really “too big a cause for concern.”
“As of now, business debt does not present the kind of elevated risks to the stability of the financial system that would lead to broad harm,” Powell said.
Schiff believed that Powell’s reassurances meant nothing, now that the Federal Reserve was clueless after pumping the economy artificially over the last decade. It was a die-and-die situation for the US central bank, as the world looked upon it to decide on interest rates.
Reuters reported that the Fed was reluctant to cut the interest rates because the move would lead to another sharp increase in corporate debts. On the other hand, as Peter Schiff noted, the Fed could not even raise the rates, fearing that the move would “jack up the cost of servicing” of corporate debt.
“And,” the analyst added, “since the economy is built on all of the borrowings the central bank encouraged over the last decade, how can the boom keep going without more borrowing?”
Schiff believed that a recession was an unavoidable phenomenon. The Federal Reserve’s response to the 2008 economic crisis did not help the economy stabilize but pushed it further into a rabbit hole with zero interest rates, quantitative easing (QE) and money printing. And now, the market had no choice but to pop the bubble.
Back to Gold vs. Bitcoin Debate
The exciting thing about Peter Schiff’s argument is its similarity with the financial experts in the bitcoin industry. The cryptocurrency community has consistently spoken against the control of a central bank over its national economy – and it has long envisioned a recession, just like Schiff.
The only thing that separates Schiff with the rest of the cryptocurrency community is his belief in gold. The analyst positions the precious metal as a safe asset for investors should the worst come. But, at the same time, he rejects bitcoin, which is considered as ‘digital gold’ by its fans.

Schiff on Monday appeared in a Gold vs. Bitcoin debate with Saifeadean Ammous, the author of the Bitcoin Standard, where he explained why central banks and investors would never choose bitcoin over gold as a haven asset.
“When Nixon took us off the Gold standard in the 1970s, he said it was temporary. His decision did not just take the US but the entire world off the Gold standard because at that time the world was on the dollar standard and the dollar was backed by gold. The world trusted us to keep our promise, but we basically scr***d everybody.
“We’re going to have a monetary crisis, and then the world will go back to the Gold standard, one way or another.”

Huge props to @PeterSchiff for being the only gold bug willing to publicly defend gold and engage in the bitcoin vs gold debate
Amazing to me that a $8 trillion asset class has so few public advocates. The bench of informed bitcoin proponents is super deep and growing#DropGold
— Barry Silbert (@barrysilbert) May 22, 2019

Schiff added that bitcoin has no value – it’s all based on what people want to pay for it. In his response, Ammous argued that people would want to move to a non-confiscable, decentralized, and easily transferrable asset like bitcoin, which is what gave value to bitcoin.
Gold and Bitcoin Can Coexist
Austrian economist Ron Paul said in July last year that gold and bitcoin could co-exist as haven assets, stating that the marketplace has space for both cryptocurrencies and precious metals.
“The biggest challenge will be to get the government out of the way to allow this choice,” he wrote in his paper ‘The Dollar Dilemma.’ “It’s conceivable that cryptocurrencies, using blockchain technology, and a gold standard could exist together, rather than posing an either-or choice — Different currencies may be used for certain transactions for efficiency reasons.”
That said, with Schiff making the argument for the next economic crisis in public – just like he did ahead of the 2008 crash – the gold bull is more likely to help bitcoin than damage its prospects before the potential investors.

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Hedge Fund Execs Predict Bitcoin Price will Close 2019 at $9,659

The bitcoin price has surged a little above 114 percent in 2019 so far. But, according to a new poll, the cryptocurrency has extra fuel to sustain its upside action further.
US comparison website Finder surveyed ten FinTech capitalists, including executives from hedge funds Arca and BitBull Capital, on Friday. The portal found that a majority of them expected that bitcoin would pullback from its recently tested $8,000-level. However, they forecasted a strong rebound in June, which would push the cryptocurrency’s rate to as high as $9,659 by the end of this year.
Why So Bullish
Prices of bitcoin rose impressively in 2019 following an 85 percent depreciation the previous year. The April and May trading session alone saw a 50 percent appreciation in the bitcoin rate, having risen from $4,000 to above $8,000. At the same time, mainstream financial markets underperformed owing to escalating economic tensions between the US and China.

The surge in $BTC continues as the mounting fear about war with China drives US investors to look for safety, The only asset to outperform is the non correlated #Bitcoin, proving again that all $USD denominated assets such as stoc…
— Alex Mashinsky (@Mashinsky) May 15, 2019

The Finder survey participants were quick to notice the inverse relationship between the two events. Almost half of them said mainstream investors diverted their capital from interim bearish equities to bitcoin as a sign of risk management.
Mark Pimentel, the founder, and one of the chief executives at Kronos, a high-frequency crypto trading company, admitted that they have been using bitcoin as a haven against the bearish mainstream markets, stating they were able to make substantial gains out of bitcoin’s volatile price swings.
“The cryptocurrency market is swayed by news and attention, so as bitcoin begins to rise in price again, more traders enter the market. It is much more likely for these entrants to buy bitcoin than sell. So this predictably creates price appreciation,” Pimentel said, adding that the bitcoin price could retest $20,000 in 2019.
Meanwhile, there were also who credited mainstream institutions, which have been lately building new services around the bitcoin market, as one of the main drivers behind the latest bitcoin price rally.
“Eight out of 10 panelists think the price of bitcoin increased due to cryptocurrency-related announcements made at Consensus 2019 in New York City,” said Finder.
The bitcoin price surged by as much as 77 percent upon the conclusion of the Consensus event.
Broader Adoption
David Wills, chief operating officer at Kinetic Capital, a cryptocurrency trading firm, said the bitcoin price is due for gains because of its potential for broader adoption as a currency. The Hong Kong-based executive cited Whole Foods, an Amazon-backed retailer, and Nordstrom, a North American chain of luxury department stores, for making his case. Both the retail stores accept cryptocurrencies as payments.
“Last year, the bear market was in part caused by the fallout from many loss-making, unsuccessful initial coin offerings, and the participation by [a number of] questionable players that attracted regulatory scrutiny in cryptocurrencies,” Wills told the South China Morning Post, adding that the bitcoin industry has become more mature than before.
The bitcoin price was trading at $7,960 at the time of this writing, up 152 percent since its cycle low.
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South Korean Bitcoin Exchanges Post Highest Fiat Influx

An average bitcoin investor in South Korea has dumped more fiat money than the one in other countries, reveals CryptoCompare.
The London-based data analytics firm found that cryptocurrency exchange BitHumb has received over $16 billion worth of fiat money in April 2019. The firm further noted that Upbit, a BitHumb-rival, posted the second-best influx of fiat-based capital at around $7.5 billion in the same month. At the same time, US-based exchanges Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken paled in comparison, posting capital injections between $1-5 billion each.
South Korean Crypto Market Attracting Most Fiat Influx | Image Credits: Crypto Compare
The fiat statistics were similar if not the same in months before the bitcoin price boom.
Both BitHumb and Upbit topped the monthly fiat-to-crypto volume in February and March this year, revealing that the South Korean investors were accumulating cryptocurrencies better than others ahead of April 2, the date on which the bitcoin price popped through a rigorous resistance area. Nevertheless, crypto-to-fiat volumes on BitHumb dropped in April despite a favorable buying sentiment. The statistics, however, remained higher compared to the rest of the cryptocurrency exchanges, including Upbit, whose own crypto-to-fiat trading activity went up in April.
“Malta-registered exchanges represented the majority of trading volume, followed by those legally registered in Hong Kong and South Korea,” wrote CryptoCompare. “Monthly trading volume from Malta-registered exchanges increased 56% since February, while that of Hong Kong and South Korea-registered exchanges increased by 54% and 21% respectively.”
More Crypto Account Registrations
Hank Yung reported on Friday that more South Korean investors were lining up to register at the local cryptocurrency exchanges. The news service cited an individual who works for NH Bank, the institution which handles banking for BitHumb. He complained about working past office hours due to a rise in applications for virtual currency accounts. Excerpts (translated from Korean):
“As bitcoin price has surged to more than 10 million won, the demand for issuing password exchange accounts for investment has also increased.”

An employee at NH, a major bank in South Korea that handles banking for Bithumb, says new registrations for crypto trading is up substantially this week.
Seems like the rapid recovery of bitcoin has gotten the interest of retail investors.
— Joseph Young (@iamjosephyoung) May 18, 2019

Mati Greenspan, a senior market analyst at eToro, believes the crypto trend is South Korea exists beyond the spot exchanges and their banking partners. The analyst said on Monday that LocalBitcoins posted its highest bitcoin trading volume day on May 18, 201 against the South Korean Won.
“It’s not a lot,” said Greenspan. “Just about $165k. Still, it’s a good indication that the wave is growing again in one of the most enthusiastic crypto trading nations.”

SK also just reported their highest volumes ever @LocalBitcoins.
It's not a lot. Just about $165k. Still, it's a good indication that the wave is growing again in one of the most enthusiastic cryptotrading nations.
— Mati Greenspan (@MatiGreenspan) May 20, 2019

US Dollar Dumped More than Won

In April, 60% of all #Bitcoin trading into fiat was made up of the US Dollar@CryptoCompare
— Unfolded (@cryptounfolded) May 20, 2019

Despite South Korea’s regional influence, the bitcoin market continues to attract the most substantial capital from the US market. CryptoCompare reports that bitcoin-to-dollar trading comprised 60 percent of the total fiat-enabled volume in April, followed by Euro, Japanese Yen, and South Korean Won. It loosely means that the South Korean exchanges attracted most of the fiat influx in the dollar.
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Bitcoin Price Crosses $7,500 to Establish Fresh 2019 High

The bitcoin price has jumped above $7,500 to discover its fresh yearly high.
The world’s largest cryptocurrency established $7,568.32 as its new session peak, bringing its year-to-date net rebound up to 140 percent on San Francisco-based Coinbase exchange. The broader cryptocurrency market tailed bitcoin’s uptrend, with a majority of top assets posting double-digit gains, including Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, EOS, and Ethereum. Even Bitcoin SV, which lately faced trading ban at several cryptocurrency exchanges, saw a 10 percent appreciation in the last 24 hours.
What’s Driving Bitcoin Bulls
Bitcoin Establishes New 2019 Highs above $7,500 | Image Credits:
Bitcoin’s continuous climb to $7,500 came in the wake of improving buying sentiment and technical forecasts. Fidelity Investments, a Boston-based asset management firm with a vast Wall Street clientele, announced last week that it would add bitcoin trading to its list of institutional investment services. At the same time, online investment service TD Ameritrade started offering stimulated bitcoin trading through Nasdaq, raising hopes that a full-fledged bitcoin adoption was underway.
Meanwhile, technical data continued to identify the end of bitcoin’s most prolonged bearish phases after the asset formed a low in $3,100-3,200 range on December 15, 2018. Momentum indicator Stochastic RSI, for instance, rebounded from its oversold territory for the first time since February 2018 on monthly charts. The move identified a trend shift, meaning that the market was eyeing an extended bitcoin price recovery in the future.

$BTC Stoch RSI currently at 2015 pre bull run level (33) and should enter "overbought" territory in about 1 or 2 months.
Last time it lasted 2 years from $300 to $19K. #bitcoin
— Galaxy (@galaxyBTC) May 10, 2019

At the same time, bullish analysts continued to strengthen their long-term upside targets following the Golden Cross formation. The technical chart pattern held a historical significance in the bitcoin market for shooting the price from $300 to $20,000 in 14 months. The latest Golden Cross formation too prompted a bitcoin uptrend which, as bulls believed, would lead the price beyond $20,000 by the end of this year.
A significant investment firm was also studying bitcoin’s old price behavior to understand its next move. Vancouver-based Canaccord Genuity found that bitcoin could continue its bull trend over the next 24 months. The firm expected the cryptocurrency to retest $20,000 due to next year’s Halving event, which would reduce the current bitcoin supply by half.
“Now four months into 2019, we note for the third time the striking similarity in bitcoin’s price action between 2011-2015 and 2015-2019,” Canaccord said in a note. “While this simple pattern recognition has a little fundamental basis, we note that bitcoin does operate on a four-year cycle of sorts, as the halving of bitcoin’s mining reward occurs approximately every four years.”
Near Term Targets
The bitcoin price was now eyeing the $7,785-8,602 range as its next potential bull target. The said area had adequate reversal sentiment, given its ability to cap small uptrends between April and July 2018. A pullback at any given level could push the bitcoin price violently towards interim supports, the nearest one being at $7,000.
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Binance and Coinbase Traffic Spikes as Bitcoin Price Surges 81% YTD

Over a million internet users are visiting Binance every day as the cryptocurrency exchange manages a $40 million hack scandal amidst a bitcoin price boom.
Toronto-based Kevin Rooke, known for his insightful crypto-related social media analysis, revealed that Binance’s daily average traffic had gone up by 13 percent in April. At 1,183,000 visits, the Malta-based exchange was hosting its best website statistics since October 2018. The analysis appeared as soft evidence of people’s growing interest in cryptocurrencies, particularly bitcoin whose value surged by 29.33 percent during the April session.
Meanwhile, other cryptocurrency exchanges witnessed lesser website traffic compared to Binance. They were not even getting more than 400,000 hits a day, barring Coinbase, a US-based crypto exchange, which recorded an average of 930,000 visits every 24 hours. Coinbase offered services across 53 countries and worked under tight regional regulations. At the same time, Binance trading platform was available worldwide but catered fiat withdrawals only via Binance Jersey, a service it launched on February 18, 2019.
Binance and Coinbase Posted Best Incoming Traffic | Image Credits: Kevin Rooke
Bitcoin Boom Behind Traffic?
The Binance and Coinbase’s latest traffic reports followed bitcoin’s co-called April Fools’ rally. On April 2, the cryptocurrency’s rate dramatically jumped by up to 24 percent. It posted similar bullish moves through the rest of the month.
The bitcoin buying sentiment rippled further into the early-May trading session. On the 9th, its price broke above $6,000, a historically significant support level during the asset’s downward action in 2018. The BTC/USD instrument today formed its yearly high towards $6,989.89 on Coinbase.
The bitcoin price booms typically coincided with an increase in the number of bitcoin-related keyword searches on Google – and even on China’s Baidu. Keyword ‘Bitcoin Price,’ for instance, continued to remain the most searched crypto-related query on Google. And interestingly, the search engine responded with a Coinbase URL on the top, alongside some of NewsBTC’s bitcoin price articles (big heart to our readers).
Coinbase Topped Bitcoin’s Most Searched Keyword | Image Credits: Google
The high Google ranked at least one of the cryptocurrency exchanges at the top, which increased its visibility before the internet users. It is difficult to predict whether or not any of the new users converted into sales. No official data was available that could verify the number of account holders either on Coinbase or Binance as of now. At the same time, a report published in December 2018 stated that Coinbase had 422,000 daily active users, while Binance had 313,000.
Coinbase Beat Binance in December 2018 Based on Daily Active Users | Image Credits: Blockchain Transparency Institute
It was likely for internet users to take an interest in a bullish decentralized asset, which explained how people could have landed on Coinbase or Binance either via referrals or directly. That doesn’t take away the fact that bitcoin’s on-chain activity surged alongside its price since December 15’s bottom formation.
At the time of this writing, the BTC/USD instrument’s year-to-date gains were 81-percent.
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Gold Futures Projects Bitcoin Price 350% Higher in Roughly 378 Days

There is a strong possibility that the bitcoin price would surge by 350 percent in roughly 378 days, according to past trend behavior noted in the Gold Futures market.
Cryptocurrency management firm Trading Shot found striking similarities between the Gold Futures (COMEX) and the Bitcoin spot market. The firm noted that bitcoin’s 2017 surge towards its historical high at $20,000 looked very similar to the Gold Futures’ bullish performance between July 1976 and January 1980. Moreover, their expected bearish corrections also trended hand-in-hand, as shown in the chart below.
Gold Futures and Bitcoin Price Comparison | Source: Trading Shot
Interim Projection
Bitcoin Death Cross | Source: Trading Shot
Trading Shot projected bitcoin’s latest Golden Cross formation as a turning point, stating that the price “will continue to rise towards new all-time highs aggressively.” At the same time, the firm reminded that bitcoin could go through a brief pullback even after forming a bullish Golden Cross. It made the argument based on bitcoin price action in 2015, in which the market built a death cross just two months after forming a Golden cross.

“It is obvious that Bitcoinis trading on an important crossroad with various conflicting short term (because long term it is as good of an investment as any) signals. What is also obvious though, is that if Bitcoin continues to follow Gold’s early 2000s price action, and more particularly it’s Golden Cross, then it will continue to aggressively rise towards new All-Time Highs without any last pull back as it did in 2015.”
Studying Gold Futures Upside
Gold Futures Recovery | Source:
From the day the Gold Futures formed a Golden Cross, the price corrected upwards by more than 350 percent – from $429.5 to $1929.7. The derivative achieved the bull target in 31 years and six months.
Realizing bitcoin’s lifespan so far is shorter than that of Gold, and that its market is more volatile too, Gold’s one month can be termed as bitcoin’s one day. It is, of course, pure speculation (the relationship between the price and their time-based output can change dramatically).
That said – the rough estimation of 31.5 years for bitcoin comes out to be 378 days (taken from Gold Futures’ 378-month long bull bias). At the same time, the price target for bitcoin in 378 days after the bull cross confirmation comes near $18,539. There is, of course, a possibility of a death cross formation as stated above, which would mean resetting the 378-day timer upon forming the next Golden cross formation.
“Gold gave investors many similar buy signals throughout 1999 – 2003 at the end of its last bear cycle, just as Bitcoin is giving since last December,” stated Trading Shot. “Investors who ignored those and failed to buy Gold during the late 90s have missed a great opportunity, which has never come back. Investor psychology during market cycle’s can be identical throughout very different financial assets.”
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Litecoin Jumps 161% YTD and Crosses $80 on a Harry Potter Spell

Litecoin, once the bitcoin’s closest rival, has beaten almost all the top crypto assets in terms of year-to-date (YTD) performance.
The LTC/USD instrument has printed a 164.14 percent adjustable gains in 2019, bringing its total rebound to a total of 256 percent. Compared to other top dollar-based cryptocurrency instruments, Litecoin is only behind Binance Coin’s BNB token and Tezos’s XTZ, whose YTD performances are 292.43 percent and 177 percent, respectively. At the same time, bitcoin’s YTD performance sits at 54.80 percent.
The May 3 bitcoin price rally has further improvised upside sentiments in the cryptocurrency market. Litecoin, again, is benefitting hugely from it. The LTC/USD rate today crossed above $80, accompanied by a decent volume. The pair is signaling another upside push to reclaim its 2019 high towards approx $100.
Litecoin Price Has Surged More than 160% in 2019 | Source: CMC
The session-to-session surges are purely technical. The speculation about bitcoin establishing a bottom has allowed traders to enter the market at fresher higher highs. Bulls believe that bitcoin can retest $6,000 – a healthy support level during the asset’s downtrend from $20,000-high – in near-term. The rest of the market is merely reacting to the sharp moves in the bitcoin market.
That does not mean the Litecoin price jump is speculative. There is a Harry Potter spell working as a strong fundamental to – at least – ensure reliable support for litecoin.
The Litecoin price leap has accelerated specifically upon the creator Charlie Lee’s announcement of Mimblewimble. The protocol, named after a tongue-tying spell from the Harry Potter universe, proposes to make Litecoin a more scalable and private coin. These are the two of the most sought critical ingredients in any cryptocurrency these days.

Litecoin dev team spent hours discussing how to add Confidential Transactions. The way to do a softfork CT is very similar to doing extension blocks and extension blk may be simpler and can do a lot more. We are now also exploring doing bulletproof MimbleWimble w/ extension blks.
— Charlie Lee [LTC] (@SatoshiLite) February 3, 2019

“We have started exploration towards adding privacy and fungibility to Litecoin by allowing on-chain conversion of regular LTC into a Mimblewimble variant of LTC and vice versa,” Beam, Litecoin’s software development partner, wrote in a Medium post. “Upon such conversion, it will be possible to transact with Mimblewimble LTC in complete confidentiality.”
A mere announcement does not mean that Litecoin is close to updating its protocol. Nevertheless, it is adequate to keep the community’s interest intact especially after Lee’s decision to sell all his LTC holdings, which stirred quite a controversy.
$109 a Crucial Juncture
Litecoin Price Above $109 Signals a Stronger Bull Momentum | Source:
The litecoin price is now testing $79.16 as its temporary resistance. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that there is still a room for a continued bull momentum towards $94.64 before the next downside correction comes into view.
Nevertheless, it is the $109.53-resistance level that could confirm a long-term bullish bias for Litecoin. The line served as strong support during Litecoin’s downside action in five separate instances in 2018. That said, a close above $109.53 could signal Litecoin to push towards $139.35, creating a decent long opportunity for traders.
[Disclaimer: Cryptocurrency trading involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for every investor.]
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Bitcoin Dominance Soars Above 55% After Meteoric Rise to 2019 High

The bitcoin price on Friday jumped 7.48 percent to establish a fresh five-month high towards $5,864. The uptrend further pulled altcoins out of their bias conflict scenarios.
Ethereum, for instance, printed 4.5 percent gains against the dollar in the last 24 hours. Similarly, XRP, EOS, Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, and others also trended in positive territory after a week of sideways action.
Bitcoin Price Establishes Fresh 2019 High | Source: CMC
Nevertheless, the top altcoins underperformed against bitcoin. The last 24 hours saw Ethereum dropping 1.85 percent of its value against the king cryptocurrency. Similarly, Ripple’s XRP plunged 3.76 percent, Stellar dived a whopping 5.23 percent, and Cardano and Tron fell close to 3.5 percent each against bitcoin. Only Dash and Binance Coin managed to hold their gains.
The move helped bitcoin strengthen its dominance in the cryptocurrency market. Against a 33.41 percent control recorded on January 8 last year, the bitcoin market today covered more than 55 percent of the total cryptocurrency market. The statistics showed that more traders were flocking towards bitcoin during interim bullish sessions.

$BTC pairs in the past hour
"sir…there were no survivors"
— Josh HODLonautszewicz (@CarpeNoctom) May 3, 2019

The Josh Rager Bitcoin Theory
Cryptocurrency analyst Josh Rager said ahead of the ongoing rally that BTC had closed above its crucial resistance level while altcoins were already pulling back without achieving the said mettle. The analysts theorized that bitcoin – therefore – had a better probability of extending a bull run than Ethereum, Litecoin, and EOS.
“BTC looks stronger & closed above resistance while other altcoin majors hit resistance & pulled back,” stated Rager. “[I] would love to long/buy on a BTC pullback at $4,339-4,769 zone. Bitcoin has room to push up over $6,383 on 1M Chart so no promises on a pullback at this moment.”

$BTC vs Majors Month Chart
BTC looks stronger & closed above resistance while other alt majors hit resistance & pulled back
Would love to long/buy on a Bitcoin pullback at $4339 – $4769 zone
Bitcoin has room to push up over $6383+ on 1M Chart so no promises on pullback atm
— Josh Rager (@Josh_Rager) May 1, 2019

A few of these altcoins closed above their respective resistance areas during today’s trading session. The litecoin price, for instance, is now trending above $74.80. At the same time, Ethereum and EOS are still waiting to break above their resistance levels.
Meanwhile, bitcoin, whose last crucial resistance was lurking near $4,769, has confirmed an extended bull action, with its next upside target set towards $6,000.
The Potential BTC Pullback
Bitcoin Price Awaiting Breakout above $5,800 | Source:
The latest bull action brought the bitcoin price close to $5,809. This level in June 2018 served as strong support to bitcoin’s downtrend sentiment. The chart above shows two occasions in which the $5,809-level capped the price from extending its bear run. The level continued to provide atmospheric support on each of bitcoin’s downside attempts, unless the inconvenience caused by the Bitcoin Cash hard fork in November 2018 finally broke it.
Even today, the bitcoin price tested $5,809 before hinting a minor pullback. There is a possibility of BTC achieving $6,000 if it establishes an explicit breakout action above $5,809 – buying action accompanied by an increase in volume. Such a move could further increase BTC’s dominance in the cryptocurrency market.
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Analyst: Bitcoin Has Stronger Bullish Potential than Altcoins, Here’s Why

The bitcoin market’s bullish bias is looking stronger than other altcoins, according to Josh Rager.
The cryptocurrency analyst said Wednesday that bitcoin was among the only crypto assets that managed to jump above a significant resistance level on monthly charts. In contrast, other top crypto assets including Litecoin, Ethereum, and EOS failed to close above a similar level in their respective markets, as shown below.
Bitcoin Price Closing Above a Key Resistive Junction | Source: Josh Rager, Twitter
Historical Significance
Rager considered $4769.03 as a significant resistance level for bitcoin. The horizontal plane had capped an active upside attempt during the September 2017 trading session. As the price broke above that level, it ended up establishing its historical peak towards circa $20,000.
The April trading session saw the coin breaching above $4,769. The move led Rager to make a medium-term bull bias case for bitcoin, stating that if bitcoin stays above $4,769, then its probability of hitting a fresh 2019 high above $6,000 will be higher.
“I would love to long/buy on a Bitcoin pullback at $4,339-4,769 zone. [The price] has room to push up over $6,383 on 1M Chart so no promises on a pullback at this moment.”
As for other altcoins, their April price action mirrored the moves made by bitcoin in the recent months. But almost all of them were looking at their uptrends undergoing a fresh downside correction.

$BTC vs Majors Month Chart
BTC looks stronger & closed above resistance while other alt majors hit resistance & pulled back
Would love to long/buy on a Bitcoin pullback at $4339 – $4769 zone
Bitcoin has room to push up over $6383+ on 1M Chart so no promises on pullback atm
— Josh Rager (@Josh_Rager) May 1, 2019

Litecoin, for instance, briefly underwent a pullback after jumping above $74.80, its resistance from September 2017. Ethereum performed a similar stunt after correcting lower ahead of testing its $200-resistance. EOS too dropped lower amidst high selling sentiment near $5.921.
“BTC looks stronger and closed above resistance while other alt majors hit resistance & pulled back,” Rager stated. “Once we hit between $6300 to $6400 would be a time to short. So, I still think it could push up than pull back in May early June.”
Bitcoin Weaker in 2019
Rager’s prediction is more favorable towards bitcoin despite the cryptocurrency’s weaker buying sentiment against the top altcoins this year. Every since it established a low towards $3,100, the BTC/USD pair has recovered by 72 percent. The attractive rebound nevertheless is dwarfed by the rebounds in other coin markets.

Bitcoin’s forked version Bitcoin Cash, for instance, jumped 284 percent upon hitting a low towards $73.54 last December. Similarly, the litecoin price ballooned 228 percent, rising from its cycle low of $22.43 to $72.67, its rate at the press time. EOS also rebounded by more than 200 percent in just four months, while Ethereum, at a decent 95 percent recovery, also remained ahead of bitcoin.
But the fact that most of those altcoins are pulling back while, at the same time, bitcoin is holding on to its April profits, indicates that traders are moving back to the bitcoin market.
Bitcoin’s dominance in the cryptocurrency market is close to 54 percent at the time of this writing.
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Bitcoin Bulls Drive $20 Million into New York-based Crypto Trust

The bitcoin price is down over 74 percent from its record peak near $20,000. But that has not deterred institutional investors from strengthening their bullish positions in the market. The sentiment has led the world’s largest crypto asset investment firm to notch a record capital inflow this week.
New York-based Greyscale Investments, a division of Digital Currency Group, brought in over $20 million in total investments, according to a statement issued by CEO and Founder Barry Silbert. The said uptick marked Greyscale’s best week since 2017 and pushed the firm’s assets-under-management worth to circa $1.21 billion.

BIG week for @GrayscaleInvest -> we raised over $20 million into the Grayscale family of funds, our highest week since 2017
— Barry Silbert (@barrysilbert) April 26, 2019

The investment followed a shift in trading sentiment in the bitcoin market. Upon establishing a so-called bottom towards $3,100 in December 2018, the bitcoin price corrected up to 70 percent in the positive territory. It eventually settled for a new 2019 high towards $5,650 on April 23, only to correct laterwards and establish a session low towards $4,963.
Short Interest Down
Greyscale Bitcoin Trust BTC (OTCMKTS: GBTC), one of the nine cryptocurrency products offered by Greyscale, noticed a 7.79 percent decrease in Short Interest (SI). According to FINRA, GBTC’s total SI was down to 11.11 million from 12.05 million shares. Such a drop typically means that investors have become decently bullish, and the price may be due for a reversal to the upside. Nevertheless, GBTC decreased 0.70 percent during the April 26 trading session, much in line with the bitcoin spot market’s session performance.
Greyscale Bitcoin Investment Trust Price Chart | Source:
GBTC market’s medium-term perspectives fared well. The stock surged more than 100 percent since February 6, 2019, leaving investors with a stronger bullish bias. Greyscale’s latest financial report showed that GBTC was 2,721.3 percent up since inception while it’s 12-month performance was negative, down 47.6 percent.
Greyscale’s other cryptocurrency products also posted annual losses, with ZCash, Ethereum Classic, and Bitcoin Cash noting more than 70 percent drop in holdings.
Only Accredited Investors
Strong asset inflows in the medium-term indicate that institutional interest in bitcoin is emerging again following the 2018’s decline. Greyscale’s clientele includes hedge funds, pensions, endowments, family offices, and high net-worth individuals – and their interest in GBTC, which represents the ownership of bitcoins held by Greyscale, show a stronger bullish bias for the asset.

CRYPTO: $GBTC premium to NAV creeping up to 36% on heels of $BTC surge to ~$4,000
Rise in premium is a sign of institutional net buying (easier to buy this ETN from ⁦@GrayscaleInvest⁩ than buy via a crypto exchange)…
…another sign 2019 way better than 2018 for crypto
— Thomas Lee (@fundstrat) February 19, 2019

The shift came amidst institutions’ uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market’s future. Security, lack of regulations, and news of fraud were the main obstacles. But with big names in the mainstream financial industry building a crypto-enabled infrastructure, the fears are dropping down. It is already visible in bitcoin’s impressive performance in 2019.
Yale and Harvard’s endowment funds have invested in at least three venture capital funds that deal in cryptocurrencies. Fidelity and Nasdaq have also entered the market with several partnerships and cryptocurrency ventures.
Image Credits to Shutterstock
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